U.S. pork producers don’t seem optimistic about a potential trade deal with the European Union coming together anytime soon. Nick Giordano is the Vice President of Global Government Affairs for the National Pork Producers Council.
Giordano tells Politico that he’s “very skeptical” that the two sides will even reach a mini agreement in the weeks ahead. He feels the real goal should be a comprehensive trade pact covering all sectors of agriculture. “It’s outrageous that a market of that size, with that level of income, is so closed to us,” Giordano says. “They’re stealing jobs from us because of their protectionism and that’s unacceptable.”
The VP says there will be widespread support in the U.S. agriculture community for the Trump Administration to take tough action against the EU if there are no concessions regarding a more open EU market. Meantime, U.S. cattlemen might annually sell $4 billion worth of beef to China within the next five years.
Kent Baucus, Senior Director of International Affairs with the National Cattlemen’s Beef Association, says the Phase One trade deal and the meat shortage in China cause by African Swine Fever should drive U.S. beef exports higher. “We haven’t even scratched the surface on the Chinese market,” he says. “There is a tremendous amount of unmet protein demand in China.
What are the drivers of the markets at this time? What do you think the USDA Outlook Forum is going to say? Why is there such a big difference on opinions on market direction? Any updates on the Phase One Trade deal? How does the demand from the ethanol industry look?
China is seeking more flexibility from the United States on promises made in the Phase One trade agreement. The agreement signed last month allows China and the U.S. to engage in dialog for changes “in the event that a natural disaster or other unforeseeable event” delays either country from complying with the trade deal.
Bloomberg News reports China is expected to seek consultation on that basis, as the nation grapples with the coronavirus outbreak. China may have trouble meeting the requirements of the trade agreement if the virus continues to disrupt demand. China’s Foreign Ministry Monday also claimed that “The U.S. government hasn’t provided any substantive assistance to us.”
Meanwhile, the U.S. Centers for Disease Control says its actions seek to stop the spread of the virus. The CDS warns more coronavirus cases are likely to be identified in the coming days, including more cases in the United States. It’s also likely that person-to-person spread will continue to occur.
Phil Hogan, the new Trade Commissioner for the European Union, was in Washington, D.C., last week and spoke about the tense relationship between the EU and the U.S. The New York Times says Hogan promises to “robustly defend” European interests as he justified the European position on trade disagreements with the U.S. over airplane subsidies, digital taxes, and the World Trade Organization.
He criticized American officials for being inaccurate in claiming that trade between the U.S. and EU was unbalanced, while also saying America’s aggressive use of tariffs against trading partners was “hardly sensible.” His comments came as the U.S. is considering the use of new tariffs against the European Union trading bloc.
However, Hogan ruled out the possibility of a three-way trade relationship between the EU, the U.S., and the United Kingdom in a post-Brexit world. U.S. Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross tells Fox Business News that sealing the phase one trade deal with China and congressional passage of USMCA boosts the U.S. negotiating stance with Europe. “Our position is infinitely better already just because of these two deals,” Ross says.
Susan Littlefield sits down with Jeff Peterson of Heartland Farm Partners to talk about market reaction to the Phase One deal. What details he found encouraging and those that caused concern.
Why have the markets been down so much since the phase one trade deal came out? What are some of the details of the trade deal that you found encouraging? Are there parts of the trade deal that concern you? What does the market focus on now going forward?
How does the corn export demand look? How does the corn ethanol demand look? What does it take to turn the market back higher?
Phase One is signed. What is the market direction for the next few months pushing through winter. Beyond the trade deal USMCA would be the next big push. Brazil real vs. U.S. dollar. We will have better demand going into 2020, but don’t expect it first quarter. Feeder cattle charts. Could we see stabilization in the hog market? Current livestock demand.
U.S. Secretary Perdue issued the following statement after President Donald J. Trump signed the historic Phase One Trade Agreement between the United States and China:
“This agreement is proof President Trump’s negotiating strategy is working. While it took China a long time to realize President Trump was serious, this China Phase I Deal is a huge success for the entire economy. This agreement finally levels the playing field for U.S. agriculture and will be a bonanza for America’s farmers, ranchers, and producers,” said Secretary Perdue. “China has not played by the rules for too long, and I thank President Trump for standing up to their unfair trading practices and for putting America first. We look forward to exporting to Chinese customers hungry for American products.”
The United States and China are set to take a step toward trade peace after 18 months of economic skirmishing. President Donald Trump and China’s chief trade negotiator plan to sign a modest agreement Wednesday that would ease some U.S. economic sanctions on China and have Beijing step up purchases of American farm products and other goods.
The deal would lower tensions in a fight that has slowed global growth, hurt American manufacturers and weighed on the Chinese economy. But the “Phase 1” agreement would do little to force China to make the major economic changes such as reducing unfair subsidies for its own companies.
President Donald Trump signed a trade agreement with China Wednesday. The phase one deal, according to the Trump administration, is worth an extra $40-50 billion annually over the next two years in U.S. agricultural sales to China.
However, Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer earlier this week called the deal weak, suggesting Trump reached a watered-down agreement to claim a “win” during his reelection campaign. Further information suggests the figure may be $32 billion in increased ag purchases, not $40-50 billion.
Senator Chuck Grassley, a Republican from Iowa, attended the ceremony. Grassley welcomes the agreement but says, “Not only must China follow through with its commitments in this phase one deal, but also work toward a comprehensive agreement.”
President Trump says the agreement removes trade barriers for U.S. agricultural products, particularly for beef. Meanwhile, Agriculture Secretary Sonny Perdue says the agreement will benefit many different U.S. farm commodities.
The agreement should be implemented within 30 days, according to the Trump Administration.
Free legal and financial clinics are being offered for farmers and ranchers at seven sites across the state in February 2020. The clinics are one-on-one meetings with an agricultural law attorney and an agricultural financial[...]
Farmers Pride Coop Annual meeting – Feb 17 Tues Feb 25 Lifelong Learning Center, NECC, Norfolk Informational meetings start at 9:15am. Topics include grain marketing, cyber security, mineral & creep feeding, weed resistance, and crop[...]