- Weather Weather and Weather
- Holiday trade
- Tuesday report…where do we go from here?
- Psychology of the producer
- Fats & feeders had a solid Thursday trade
- Hog trade
Commodity markets, including grains, fell in with the risk off sentiment that developed across the entire market complex Friday. Brain Splitt with Ag Marketing.Net weighed in on how rising cases of Covid-19 may impact more than the equity markets.
Energy markets are at risk as states like Texas pause their reopening. That translate to harm for corn demand. Splitt is quick to point out though that there is one demand factor that could be improving for corn and that is feed demand. As DDGS and other feed ration ingredients became more scarce corn filled in more gaps livestock feeders.
China is back in the market for US soybeans on Friday, but their total demand picture is still fuzzy. A weather story would definitely help bean bears, but time for the story to develop is starting to dwindle in Splitt’s opinion.
Listen to the full commentary here:
Markets on Tuesday started with a risk on sentiment. By the close even the outside equities had faded on that sentiment. Grains ended mixed with spread action setting up between corn and wheat. Wheat is being sold on decent crop conditions, but also seasonal harvest market pressure. Shawn Hackett, Hackett Financial Advisors, joined the Fontanelle Final Bell and discussed the seasonality of the current marketing trends in the grains. Hackett is eyeing the Minneapolis spring wheat market as the signal for a turn around in the market. “Spring wheat is growing right now and very susceptible to a weather issue.” According to Hackett. During the Fontanelle Final Bell Hackett also highlights recent research his team has done about global crop insects and pests that could impact the markets later this year.
The second half of the Fonatenelle Final Bell is dedicated to livestock. Hackett starts with Class III milk futures and highlights that the recent upswing may be over done at $20. Hackett also doesn’t believe the live cattle lean hog spread can continue much higher.
Hear the full program here:
Higher grains wrap up a Thursday trade. Ethanol margins continue to stabilize while warmer drier weather is starting to factor into the trade. Export sales for the week considered “ok” and the dollar trades lower again. A look at the basis in the country and all the Dicamba talk surround the ag industry today.
Warmer weather moving in to the Midwest. Lower corn & wheat mixed beans. Ethanol margins remain stable. How much will China and latest ag import halts effect the trade? Does China want more soybeans? Is there worries about Phase One moving forward? How will South America factor in? Marketing year export inspections falling short, no surprise. Any surprises expected in the crop condition reports this afternoon? Is there replanting going on in the eastern corn belt? China is talking of pork cancellations…that will hurt the industry even harder. What will be the incentive to turn the cattle & hog markets around?