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Weekly Market Roundup
Market experts weigh in on the last week of trade, breaking down complex factors that impact the markets and your bottom line.
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Long Trading Week | 9/7/24 Nebraska Soybean Board Weekly Market RoundupIt was a risk-off day in the grain and livestock markets, with producers keeping a close eye on cattle and feed costs, worrying about a potential long-term downtrend. On this week's Nebraska Soybean Board Weekly Market Roundup we hear from Shawn Hackett with Hackett Financial Advisors and Kyle Bumsted with Allendale as they break down the long trading week that was only four days. The release of disappointing job numbers has added to the uncertainty, raising concerns that reduced consumer spending could affect grocery demand, including meat purchases. In South America, dry weather is becoming a significant issue as planting season approaches, while the same dryness is hindering grain transportation on key waterways, including rivers in Brazil and the Mississippi River in the U.S. Meanwhile, milk prices are hovering around $23, offering some relief to dairy farmers but still flirting with volatility.
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Grain Sales Plan Going Forward | 8/31/24 Nebraska Soybean Board Weekly Market RoundupOn Friday’s grain market close, the technicals showed a mixed picture, with some markets finding support while others faced resistance. Funds are currently holding a short position in several grains, reflecting a bearish sentiment in the market. On this week's Nebraska Soybean Board Weekly Market Roundup we hear from Jacob Burks and Brian Splitt with AgMarket.Net. Producer selling of old crop has been steady, with many farmers having already moved a significant portion of their grain. However, as we transition into the new crop, marketing has been cautious, with some farmers locking in prices to manage risk while others are holding out for potential rallies.
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Break Down of ProFarmer Crop Tour | 8/23/24 Nebraska Soybean Board Weekly Market RoundupThe completion of the annual ProFarmer Crop Tour provides valuable insights that are critical for market analysis. This week on the Nebraska Soybean Board Weekly Market Roundup, Darren Frye from Water Street Solutions and Jeff Peterson with Heartland Farm Partners delve into the findings from the tour's final report. They discuss key factors such as weather conditions, areas with strong crop performance, and regions that faced significant challenges. By comparing these findings to the August WASDE (World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates) report, they provide a clearer picture of how current estimates align with or diverge from official projections. Additionally, they offer predictions on what the market might expect in the upcoming September WASDE report, helping stakeholders prepare for potential shifts in market trends.
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A Week of Market Pressure | 8/17/24 Nebraska Soybean Board Weekly Market RoundupWhat is the long-range impact of the WASDE report? The recent shifts in wheat and corn suggest potential opportunities for corn in 2025. On this week's Nebraska Soybean Board Weekly Market Roundup we hear from Mike Zuzolo with Global Commodity Analytics and Craig Turner with StoneX. As we look ahead, the ProFarmer Crop Tour, starting on the 19th, will provide further insights into crop conditions. Meanwhile, the cattle market experienced a downtrend this week, which many had been concerned about. There are growing thoughts that packers may push bids even lower, adding pressure to an already challenging market environment.
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Not all Doom and Gloom for the Markets | 8/3/24 Nebraska Soybean Board Weekly Market RoundupThe market had a long week of trading, with cattle showing some improvement by the end of Friday, although still not green on the screen. Breaking everything down for this week's Nebraska Soybean Board Weekly Market Roundup we hear from Kyle Bumsted with Allendale and Darin Fessler at Lakefront Futures. Algorithms played a significant role in driving cattle prices this week. Macro factors, including weather conditions, crop potential, and are we heavily sold in the grain market, had a substantial impact. Additionally, we will break down the equity markets and explore how they relate to the agricultural sector, providing a comprehensive overview of the factors influencing the current market dynamics.
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Now Might Not Be the Time to Maximize Farm Income | 7/27/24 Nebraska Soybean Board Weekly Market RoundThe macro picture is also weighing heavily on the agricultural markets. On this week's Nebraska Soybean Board Weekly Market Roundup, Shawn Hackett of Hackett Financial Advisors discusses the broader world economy and political factors, explaining why now might not be the optimal time to maximize farm income. He also provides insights into the current state of old crop stocks still in the bin and recent movements in cattle and dairy markets over the past week. Hackett's analysis underscores the complexity of the current market environment and the need for strategic planning by farmers.
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Are Lows in Place on Grains? | 7/20/24 Nebraska Soybean Board Weekly Market RoundupThe current situation in the corn and soybean markets is challenging, with prices having recently set lows after a tough week. During this week's Nebraska Soybean Board Weekly Market Roundup, Jeff Peterson with Heartland Farm Partners talks about some volatility, leaving many wondering if we have finally seen the lows for corn and soybeans. Market analysts suggest that the markets have already factored in a reasonably sized corn and soybean crop, reflecting current expectations for yield and production. To handle the stress of these lower markets, it's essential for farmers to stay informed, maintain a focus on long-term strategies, and possibly seek advice from market advisors. For unsold old crop corn and soybeans, it's recommended to carefully consider storage options and market conditions before making sales decisions, ensuring the best possible outcomes in an uncertain market environment.
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WASDE Report Brings Numbers and Questions | 7/13/24 Nebraska Soybean Board Weekly Market RoundupFriday's WASDE report brought many questions for the market trade moving forward. On this week's Nebraska Soybean Board Weekly Market Roundup, we hear from John Payne of Advance Trading and Darren Frye of Water Street Solutions as they break down the report. They discuss how, at one point, the U.S. will have the cheapest grains in the world, along with were USDA & CONAB are on crop numbers coming out of South America. Additionally, they address feed revisions and what these changes mean for the future of grains and livestock markets.
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Higher Grains Prices Headed into the Weekend | 7/6/24 Nebraska Soybean Board Weekly Market RoundupThe 4th of July holiday put a temporary pause in the week’s trade, but wheat played a pivotal role in pushing the grain market higher. On this week's Nebraska Soybean Board Weekly Market Roundup, Kyle Bumsted of Allendale and Darin Fessler of Lakefront Futures provide insights into the recent trading activities. They analyze the impact of the JOBS report, the strength of the dollar, and the sudden turnaround in the cattle market, offering a comprehensive overview of the current market dynamics.
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USDA Releases 2024 Planting Intentions Report 6/29/24 Nebraska Soybean Board Weekly Market RoundupUSDA June planting and intentions report was released on Friday. Still corn and beans that haven't been planted yet. On this week's Nebraska Soybean Board Weekly Market Roundup we hear from Jim McCormick and Brian Splitt with AgMarket.Net. There is still old crop left in the bin and a viewer wants to know, now what. This year there is an expectation for a large harvest on winter wheat. Record high June cattle to finish off the month.
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Market Trends Anticipate Growing Influence of Weather Patterns | 6/22/24 Nebraska Soybean Board Weekly Market RoundupOn this week's Nebraska Soybean Board Weekly Market Roundup, we look into why they corn & beans haven't been responding to the hot and dry conditions of the eastern cornbelt along with the wet conditions of the western cornbelt. Jeff Peterson with Heartland Farm Partners and Kyle Bumsted with Allendale also break down this week's market trends, the upcoming planted acreage report and the results of the June Cattle on Feed Report.
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Outside Pressures from Feds to Consumer Pocketbook | 6/15/24 Nebraska Soybean Board Weekly Market RoundupThe week saw a data dump on Wednesday & the S&D was higher than four months ago. On this week's Nebraska Soybean Board Weekly Market Roundup we hear from Darren Frye with Water Street and Shawn Hackett with Hackett Financial Advisors. They break down the dollar, weather trends, dairy movement along with the ups and downs of the cattle.
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Weather Will be an Issue | 5/25/24 Nebraska Soybean Board Weekly Market RoundupWeather has been a market conversation, not only in the states but globally this past week. On this week's Nebraska Soybean Board Weekly Market Roundup, we hear from Sue Martin with Ag & Investment and Darin Fessler with Lakefront Futures on how that has brought replant talk and even the worry of prevent plant in some areas. Is now the time to be looking at selling beans and corn?
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Weather Pressure 5|18|24 Nebraska Soybean Board Weekly Market RoundupWeather took center stage this week both in the U.S. and in Russia with its effects on wheat. On this week's Nebraska Soybean Board Weekly Market Roundup we hear from Jeff Peterson with Heartland Farm Partners and Shawn Hackett with Hackett Financial Advisors on planting delays due to weather, slower planting pace, frost and drought in Russia, commodity inflation cycle along with the wheat crop tour.
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USDA reports and higher trade cap off the week |5/11/24 Nebraska Soybean Board Weekly Market RoundupThis market trade brought a lot of variety to the trade. On this week's Nebraska Soybean Board Weekly Market Roundup we hear from Heather Ramsey with the ARC Group break down the trade movement that was influenced by the weather, Friday USDA report and the highest trade since January 2, 2024.